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Goldman Sachs sees September Fed hike

4 sourcesUpdated 14 Sept 2026, 2:49 am Coverage regionsGlobal
CATCH ME UP

Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have revised their forecasts to expect a quarter-point U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike.

They point to stronger-than-expected August consumer and producer price inflation readings.

Rising oil prices above one hundred dollars per barrel have also shaped the updated outlook.

Market participants have adjusted expectations upward after the data release.

Why it mattersA major bank reversing its forecast signals inflation may keep borrowing costs higher and reset market expectations for the Fed’s next move.
More context

Economists say policymakers may act to avoid surprising financial markets.

AGREEMENT VS DISAGREEMENT

What lines up. What splits.

A quick read on shared facts, changing details, and different emphasis.

What coverage agrees on

The reporting agrees that Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have raised their forecasts and now expect a quarter-point Fed rate hike, citing stronger inflation readings and higher oil prices.

What is changing or disputed

What remains uncertain is whether policymakers will follow through at the upcoming meeting, even as market expectations have moved higher after the data release.

HOW COVERAGE DIFFERS

Same story. Different emphasis.

Swipe through the perspectives. Labels describe coverage framing, not truth or quality.

Neutral1

Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have updated their forecasts to expect a quarter-point U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike at the upcoming policy meeting. Their revised view follows stronger-than-expected August consumer and producer price inflation readings, along with oil prices rising above one hundred dollars per barrel. Market participants have also lifted expectations after the data release. Economists say policymakers may act to avoid surprising financial markets.

STORY TIMELINE

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The Edge Malaysia Neutral framing Reported

Goldman Sachs flips forecast, now sees September Fed rate hike

Quick source take

Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have updated their economic forecasts to anticipate a quarter-point US Federal Reserve interest rate hike during the upcoming policy meeting. The financial institutions attribute their revised outlook to recent stronger-than-expected consumer and producer price inflation readings from August, alongside rising oil prices exceeding one hundred dollars per barrel. Market participants have adjusted their expectations upward following the data release, while economists note that policymakers may act to avoid surprising financial markets.